Advanced Causal Inference Techniques

87 papers on this topic

Longitudinal Targeted Minimum Loss-based Estimation with Temporal-Difference Heterogeneous Transformer

We propose Deep Longitudinal Targeted Minimum Loss-based Estimation (Deep LTMLE), a novel approach to estimate the counterfactual mean of outcome under dynamic treatment policies in longitudinal...

Relaxing partition admissibility in Cluster-DAGs: a causal calculus with arbitrary variable clustering

Cluster DAGs (C-DAGs) provide an abstraction of causal graphs in which nodes represent clusters of variables, and edges encode both cluster-level causal relationships and dependencies arisen from...

DoWhy-GCM: An extension of DoWhy for causal inference in graphical causal models

We present DoWhy-GCM, an extension of the DoWhy Python library, which leverages graphical causal models. Unlike existing causality libraries, which mainly focus on effect estimation, DoWhy-GCM...

Adjustment for Confounding using Pre-Trained Representations

There is growing interest in extending average treatment effect (ATE) estimation to incorporate non-tabular data, such as images and text, which may act as sources of confounding. Neglecting these...

Demystifying the Paradox of Importance Sampling with an Estimated History-Dependent Behavior Policy in Off-Policy Evaluation

This paper studies off-policy evaluation (OPE) in reinforcement learning with a focus on behavior policy estimation for importance sampling. Prior work has shown empirically that estimating a...

A Practical Approach to Causal Inference over Time

In this paper, we focus on estimating the causal effect of an intervention over time on a dynamical system. To that end, we formally define causal interventions and their effects over time on...

Causality from Bottom to Top: A Survey

Causality has become a fundamental approach for explaining the relationships between events, phenomena, and outcomes in various fields of study. It has invaded various fields and applications,...

15 citations 2024-03 Machine Learning

Learning Causal Representations from General Environments: Identifiability and Intrinsic Ambiguity

We study causal representation learning, the task of recovering high-level latent variables and their causal relationships in the form of a causal graph from low-level observed data (such as text...

Direct Heterogeneous Causal Learning for Resource Allocation Problems in Marketing

Marketing is an important mechanism to increase user engagement and improve platform revenue, and heterogeneous causal learning can help develop more effective strategies. Most decision-making...

Mediation Analysis for Probabilities of Causation

Probabilities of causation (PoC) offer valuable insights for informed decision-making. This paper introduces novel variants of PoC-controlled direct, natural direct, and natural indirect...

SNAP: Sequential Non-Ancestor Pruning for Targeted Causal Effect Estimation With an Unknown Graph

Causal discovery can be computationally demanding for large numbers of variables. If we only wish to estimate the causal effects on a small subset of target variables, we might not need to learn...

4 citations 2025-02 arXiv (Cornell University)

Local Causal Discovery for Statistically Efficient Causal Inference

Causal discovery methods can identify valid adjustment sets for causal effect estimation for a pair of target variables, even when the underlying causal graph is unknown. Global causal discovery...

2 citations 2025-10 arXiv (Cornell University)

DoubleMLDeep: Estimation of Causal Effects with Multimodal Data

This paper explores the use of unstructured, multimodal data, namely text and images, in causal inference and treatment effect estimation. We propose a neural network architecture that is adapted...

Partial Counterfactual Identification from Observational and Experimental Data

This paper investigates the problem of bounding counterfactual queries from an arbitrary collection of observational and experimental distributions and qualitative knowledge about the underlying...

91 citations 2021-10 arXiv (Cornell University)

Causal Inference with Conditional Instruments using Deep Generative Models

The instrumental variable (IV) approach is a widely used way to estimate the causal effects of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data with latent confounders. A standard IV...

A Sample Efficient Conditional Independence Test in the Presence of Discretization

In many real-world scenarios, interested variables are often represented as discretized values due to measurement limitations. Applying Conditional Independence (CI) tests directly to such...

2 citations 2025-06 arXiv (Cornell University)

Estimating Long-term Heterogeneous Dose-response Curve: Generalization Bound Leveraging Optimal Transport Weights

Long-term treatment effect estimation is a significant but challenging problem in many applications. Existing methods rely on ideal assumptions, such as no unobserved confounders or binary...

5 citations 2024-06 arXiv (Cornell University)

Identifiability of Direct Effects from Summary Causal Graphs

Dynamic structural causal models (SCMs) are a powerful framework for reasoning in dynamic systems about direct effects which measure how a change in one variable affects another variable while...